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Köhn, J., Gowdy, J.: Coping with complex and dynamic systems. An approach to a transdisciplinary understanding of coastal zone developments. Journal of Coastal Conservation, 5: 163-170, 1999.


Abstract. Complexity and uncertainty play important roles in coastal management. Economic development may push the coastal system beyond its resilience thresholds as a result of interactions between environmental and socio-economic processes. The concepts in this paper link processes of system change, natural evolutionary processes observed in coastal zones, to processes of social evolution. An indicator based on calculating an ecological footprint for coastal zones is presented to guide decision-making in spatial and economic planning. The suggested indicator may support a range of methods linking economic valuation and environmental impact analysis.

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